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The Effect of Individual Data Points
Rung 4 of 4 · Mastery

Dodgy Averages, and Shifting a Mean on Purpose

This is where it bites in real life. One huge salary can make a workplace's "average wage" look great while everyone's underpaid — and you can run the same trick in reverse, adding a value to drag a mean exactly where you want it.


BuildTab one: spot the dodgy "average wage" and pick the honest one. Tab two: add a value to hit a target mean.
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Video ExplainerComing Soon

People quote "the average" all the time — in ads, in the news, in pay negotiations — and they don't always mean the honest one. Now that you know how a single value bends the mean, you can spot when an average is being used to mislead, and choose the one that tells the truth.

The Dodgy "average Wage"

Imagine a café with five workers on roughly $600, $650, $700, $750, $800 a week, and an owner taking home $6000. The mean works out near $1583 — and the owner could honestly advertise "average wage: over $1500 a week!" even though not one of the actual workers earns close to that. The single big salary has shoved the mean far above everybody. The median, sitting at $700, is the number that actually describes a typical worker. When a dataset has an outlier like this, the median is the honest summary — and the mean is the one to be suspicious of.

The move: one extreme value dragging the mean → quote the median. No big outlier and the data's even → mean or median, either is fair. Always ask: which average is someone hoping I won't question?

Running It in Reverse — Shifting the Mean on Purpose

The same maths works backwards. Suppose four numbers 8, 10, 11, 11 have a mean of 10, and you want to add one value so the mean of all five becomes exactly 12. The new total you need is 12 × 5 = 60. You already have 8 + 10 + 11 + 11 = 40. So the value to add is the gap: 60 − 40 = 20. Drop in a 20 and the mean lands bang on 12. That's precisely how one carefully-chosen data point can pull an average wherever you like — for good reasons (planning a target) or dodgy ones (massaging a statistic).

Why This Is the Finish Line

Feeling the mean chase a dot was the "aha". Recomputing after a change made it routine. Knowing the mean and range are the soft targets made you safe. But spotting a dishonest average — and being able to shift one yourself — is the bit that matters when you're reading the news, arguing about fair pay, or analysing a real dataset. That's mastery, and it's the doorway to displaying and analysing whole datasets next.

Us, Thinking Out Loud

Where have we seen an "average" quoted that might have hidden an outlier?

The reverse one — how do we pick a value to add to land a target mean?

Of the four steps, which should we re-drag in a fortnight?