A raffle sells 40 tickets and you buy 5. What's your chance of winning the one prize?
P(win) = favourable ÷ total = 5 ÷ 40 = 1/8 = 0.125 = 12.5%
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Probability is everywhere — weather %, raffles, board games. And it runs both ways: given the chance, you can work out how many favourable outcomes you need, or design something to hit a target.